The tree · Access · Happens to the world · Could be decided within 1 to 5 years

A private person aged sixty-five or older flies to orbit

Happened

Whether eligibility for private orbital flight holds late in life decides how long the window of personal access stays open. This has already happened: a 72-year-old flew to the space station on the first private crewed mission there in 2022. The node stays in the tree, resolved, so the picture shows it and the calibration score has a resolved leaf to count.

The test: what counts as it having happened

A person aged sixty-five or older, not a professional astronaut, completes an orbital flight, as recorded by the operator.

Settled by: The operator's mission record

Happened, April 25th, 2022

Axiom Mission 1: a 72-year-old private crew member launched 2022-04-08 and splashed down 2022-04-25, per NASA's space station blog and the operator's mission record

Sources: nasa.gov, axiomspace.com

The odds, by how long I live

No number yet for this one.

What the ledger says about this step

Revisions

DateFieldFromToWhy
2026-09-19 resolved_links https://www.nasa.gov/blogs/spacestation/2022/04/25/axiom-mission-1-crew-safely-splashes-down-near-florida/; https://www.axiomspace.com/mission-blog/ax1-crew-returns-safely Every event marked as having happened now links to the record that settled it, so a reader can check the claim (site rule added September 19th, 2026).

Notes

Age, launch date, and splashdown date checked September 8th, 2026 against NASA's mission blog and press reporting.


Think this estimate is wrong? Here's how to tell me, and what happens next. The record itself is data/A-access.toml in the public repository.