The tree · Access · World event · Leaf: could resolve within 1 to 5 years
A private person aged sixty-five or older flies to orbit
Whether eligibility for private orbital flight holds late in life decides how long the window of personal access stays open. This has already happened: a 72-year-old flew to the space station on the first private crewed mission there in 2022. The node stays in the tree, resolved, so the picture shows it and the calibration score has a resolved leaf to count.
What counts as it having happened
A person aged sixty-five or older, not a professional astronaut, completes an orbital flight, as recorded by the operator.
Settled by: The operator's mission record
Resolved: yes, 2022-04-25
Axiom Mission 1: a 72-year-old private crew member launched 2022-04-08 and splashed down 2022-04-25, per NASA's space station blog and the operator's mission record
Probability, by longevity scenario
No probability yet. First-pass numbers land factor by factor at roadmap step 9; this node's group has not been estimated.
Notes
Age, launch date, and splashdown date checked 2026-09-08 against NASA's mission blog and press reporting.
Think this node is wrong, missing a dependency, or estimated badly?
Open an issue about it, or read
how critique gets folded into the tree.
The record itself is data/A-access.toml in the public repository.