The tree · Access · My own decision · Could be decided within 5 to 20 years

Leave at the six-year mark into civilian space or defence work

Not yet Alternative to the current plan

The other option at the first fork: take the experience of the current career into civilian spaceflight training, or defence work that gets closer to the goal than staying would.

The test: what counts as it having happened

Leaving the current career at the end of the current six-year contract, followed by civilian employment in space or defence work, in my employment records.

Settled by: my employment records

The odds, by how long I live

This one is my own decision, not something that happens to the world, so it is never given a probability. A normal run of the tree assumes the current plan. To compare options, the tree is run once per choice and the change in the headline number is what gets reported. The other option at this fork: Stay past the six-year mark of the current contract.

Revisions

DateFieldFromToWhy
2026-09-25 name Wording that named my current career; withdrawn from public copy until May 2027 and kept in the repository's history Leave at the six-year mark into civilian space or defence work Decided September 25th, 2026 (definitions.md decision log): no public surface names my current career until I complete my training in May 2027. Same meaning; no probability or link moved.
2026-09-25 description Wording that named my current career; withdrawn from public copy until May 2027 and kept in the repository's history The other option at the first fork: take the experience of the current career into civilian spaceflight training, or defence work that gets closer to the goal than staying would. Decided September 25th, 2026 (definitions.md decision log): no public surface names my current career until I complete my training in May 2027. Same meaning; no probability or link moved.
2026-09-25 resolution Wording that named my current career; withdrawn from public copy until May 2027 and kept in the repository's history Leaving the current career at the end of the current six-year contract, followed by civilian employment in space or defence work, in my employment records. Decided September 25th, 2026 (definitions.md decision log): no public surface names my current career until I complete my training in May 2027. Same meaning; no probability or link moved.
2026-09-25 source Wording that named my current career; withdrawn from public copy until May 2027 and kept in the repository's history my employment records Decided September 25th, 2026 (definitions.md decision log): no public surface names my current career until I complete my training in May 2027. Same meaning; no probability or link moved.
2026-10-03 id see data/snapshots/renamed-ids.toml A-leave-at-six-years-into-civilian-space-work Id only, and with it the page's address: the old id used service wording for leaving, and no public surface describes my current career until May 2027 (decided September 25th, 2026; this rename proposed by Claude and decided October 3rd, 2026). Name, criterion, numbers and links are unchanged. Saved runs keep the old id and are read through data/snapshots/renamed-ids.toml.

Think this estimate is wrong? Here's how to tell me, and what happens next. The record itself is data/A-access.toml in the public repository.