The tree · Access · World event · Mid: 5 to 20 years
Working in or for the off-Earth industry, by either route
What the A0 tier requires: a role in or for the industry, whichever route led to it. One node with a name so the tier file stays a plain list.
What counts as it having happened
Either route node it depends on has resolved yes.
Settled by: The resolving route node's own source
Probability, by longevity scenario
| baseline2071 ± 8 | moderate2080 | strong2095 | radical2136 | openno deadline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Each number is the chance this resolves yes before that scenario's window closes, given that everything it depends on resolves first. Estimated 2026-09-19.
Why these numbers: Resolves whenever either route does; certainty here means the number is carried entirely by the two route nodes, as with the biology hedge.
Think this node is wrong, missing a dependency, or estimated badly?
Open an issue about it, or read
how critique gets folded into the tree.
The record itself is data/A-access.toml in the public repository.